The Ruzzen Score is a number from 0 to 100 that represents a candidate's overall political strength and likelihood of winning their race. It is the single number that tells you where a candidate stands.
How It Works: The Ruzzen Score is calculated using our special intelligence methodology that analyzes:
1. Party Strength - How strong is the candidate's party in their constituency? Does the party control the state? The LGA?
2. Incumbency Factor - Is the candidate an incumbent? Incumbents historically win 60-70% of Nigerian elections.
3. Historical Patterns - How has the constituency voted in previous elections? Is it a swing area or a stronghold?
4. Citizen Polls - What are real Nigerians saying? Our platform collects predictions from citizens across all 36 states.
5. Endorsement Network - Who is backing the candidate? Political godfathers, traditional rulers, business leaders.
6. Campaign Visibility - Is the candidate visible? Active? Engaged with voters?
Score Labels:
- •80-100: Dominant - Near-certain to win
- •60-79: Strong - Clear frontrunner
- •45-59: Rising - Competitive, gaining momentum
- •35-44: Toss-up - Could go either way
- •20-34: Fading - Significant headwinds
- •0-19: Underdog - Long shot
Important: The Ruzzen Score is a prediction tool, not a guarantee. Nigerian elections are dynamic. Scores are updated daily as new intelligence becomes available. Democracy is not a spectator sport - your prediction matters too.